Why Your Estimates are Always Wrong (and Why That's Okay)
The Estimation Conundrum: Why Your Estimates are Always Wrong Estimating software development time is a bit like trying to predict the weather a year from now. You can use all the fancy tools and models you want, but at the end of the day, it’s still a guess. And guess what? Your guesses are probably wrong. But here’s the thing: that’s okay. The Nature of Software Estimation Software development is inherently unpredictable. Every project is unique, and even if you’ve done something similar before, there are always new variables to consider. This unpredictability makes estimation a challenging task. As Dave Farley points out, trying to increase the precision of estimates is often the wrong approach. Instead, we should focus on making our estimates more useful and realistic. ...